College Basketball National Championship Odds 2024: Kansas, Michigan State lead preseason favorites

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The 2023-24 college basketball season tips off in 11 days as 350-plus Division I institutions vie for the chance to cut down the nets in Phoenix come early April. With 350-plus schools competing for a spot in a 68-team single-elimination tournament, picking the school fortunate enough to win the National Championship is an extremely challenging task.

However, that doesn't take away the fun of trying to predict which school will be the last one standing, and with plenty of intriguing futures prices out there, making a preseason National Championship bet is an entertaining way to expend a portion of your bankroll.

Last season's National Champion, the Connecticut Huskies, sat around the +8000 mark to win it all in the preseason. While many knew fifth-year head coach Danny Hurley was elevating the program after a rough end to the Kevin Ollie era, 30 other schools had superior National Title odds in the preseason, as the Huskies flew under the radar. 

Before the start of the NCAA Tournament, the fourth-seeded Huskies had +1600 odds to win it all, eventually rattling off six consecutive double-digit wins to claim their fifth National Championship in school history.

Will another overlooked preseason team rise to the occasion en route to a National Championship, or will one of the preseason darlings live up to the hype?

Below, we'll break down our favorite preseason futures bets to consider, ranging from a couple of odds on favorites, sleepers, and long shots.

All odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook

2024 Men's College Basketball National Championship Odds: Top 100

For a full list of 2024 Men's National Championship odds, head over to Caesars Sportsbook

School Odds
Kansas Jayhawks +1100
Michigan State Spartans +1200
Duke Blue Devils +1200
Kentucky Wildcats +1200
Purdue Boilermakers +1400
Arizona Wildcats +1800
Connecticut Huskies +2000
Marquette Golden Eagles +2500
Arkansas Razorbacks +2500
Houston Cougars +2800
Gonzaga Bulldogs +2800
Tennessee Volunteers +3000
UCLA Bruins +3000
Creighton Bluejays +3000
Villanova Wildcats +3500
North Carolina Tar Heels +4000
Baylor Bears +4000
Texas Longhorns +5000
Miami (FL) Hurricanes +5000
Alabama Crimson Tide +5000
USC Trojans +5000
Florida Atlantic Owls +5000
St. John's Red Storm +5000
Texas A&M Aggies +6000
Florida Gators +6000
Colorado Buffaloes +6000
Xavier Musketeers +8000
Virginia Cavaliers +8000
St. Mary's Gaels +8000
Memphis Tigers +8000
Indiana Hoosiers +8000
Illinois Fighting Illini +8000
Auburn Tigers +8000
Maryland Terrapins +8000
West Virginia Mountaineers +10000
Michigan Wolverines +10000
Oregon Ducks +10000
Ohio State Buckeyes +10000
Kansas State Wildcats +10000
Syracuse Orange +10000
TCU Horned Frogs +10000
Mississippi State Bulldogs +12500
Iowa State Cyclones +12500
San Diego State Aztecs +12500
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +12500
Ole Miss Rebels +15000
Arizona State Sun Devils +20000
Texas Tech Red Raiders +20000
Wisconsin Badgers +20000
Providence Friars +25000
New Mexico Lobos +25000
Clemson Tigers +25000
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +25000
NC State Wolfpack +25000
Saint Louis Billikens +30000
Oklahoma State Cowboys +30000
Northwestern Wildcats +30000
BYU Cougars +30000
Dayton Flyers +30000
Vanderbilt Commodores +30000
Utah State Aggies +30000
Florida State Seminoles +30000
Seton Hall Pirates +30000
Washington Huskies +30000
Pittsburgh Panthers +30000
Washington State Cougars +30000
Iowa Hawkeyes +30000
Virginia Tech Hokies +30000
UC Irvine Anteaters +50000
San Francisco Dons +50000
Cincinnati Bearcats +50000
California Golden Bears +50000
Colorado State Rams +50000
LSU Tigers +50000
Penn State Nittany Lions +50000
UCF Knights +50000
UNLV Rebels +50000
Santa Clara Broncos +50000
Boise State Broncos +50000
Tulane Green Wave +50000
Davidson Wildcats +50000
Stanford Cardinal +50000
VCU Rams +50000
Missouri Tigers +50000
UAB Blazers +50000
Butler Bulldogs +50000
Drake Bulldogs +50000
Richmond Spiders +50000
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +50000
Georgetown Hoyas +75000
Nebraska Cornhuskers +75000
DePaul Blue Demons +75000
Wichita State Shockers +75000
Oklahoma Sooners +75000
South Florida Bulls +75000
Utah Utes +75000
UT Arlington Mavericks +100000
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +100000
Loyola-Chicago Ramblers +100000
Vermont Catamounts +100000

2024 Men's College Basketball National Championship Odds: Favorites

Kansas Jayhawks +1100 (implied probability 8.33 percent)

The 2022 National Champion Jayhawks are the preseason odds-on favorite to win the 2024 National Title, as head coach Bill Self has a top-heavy, but talented roster that looks to run through the Big 12.

Despite losing its two most lethal offensive weapons on the wing, Gradey Dick and Jalen Wilson, to the NBA, Kansas filled one of its most pronounced holes from last season -- a legit two-way five-man -- by landing three-time All-Big Ten center Hunter Dickinson from Michigan. Dickinson's presence gives Self a go-to low-post threat that few big men can contain over 40 minutes.

Kansas' biggest concern is consistent perimeter shooting, as a team with the future 13th-overall pick in Dick, who shot over 40 percent from three last season, still ranked 143rd in three-point scoring rate (34.7). 

Towson transfer Nicolas Timberlake, who could sink close to 40 percent of his treys, should be the team's most consistent three-point shooter, but outside of Timberlake, it might be a struggle to space the floor.

An early-season matchup in the Champions Classic against Kentucky is a nice test to see how Self's squad stacks up against a fellow title contender.

That said, per KenPom's metrics, the Jayhawks have less than a 50-percent win probability in just two games this season, road trips to Baylor (46-percent win probability) and Houston (39-percent win probability). Both those games are in March, so there's a chance the Jayhawks remain the odds-on favorites for a good portion of the regular season.

Therefore, it might be worthwhile to bet the Jayhawks at 11-1 if you believe they'll reclaim the Big 12 regular season title for a third straight season.

Michigan State Spartans +1200 (implied probability 7.69 percent)

Despite finishing the Big Ten regular season 11-8 and falling to Ohio State in the Big Ten tournament quarterfinals, Tom Izzo did what he does best, leading an overlooked seven seed to the second weekend of the NCAA Tournament.

The Spartans gave the third-seeded Kansas State Wildcats all they could handle in a narrow 98-93 overtime loss in the Sweet 16, and considering Michigan State returns eight of their top 10 players from last season, a +1200 price tag to win it all is justified.

Michigan State has loads of backcourt depth, headlined by super senior Tyson Walker and junior wing Jaden Akins. Four-star guard Jeremy Fears will also play a large role this season alongside senior A.J. Hoggard, giving the Spartans arguably the best backcourt in the country.

Izzo also has four reliable frontcourt pieces in Mady Sissoko, Jaxon Kohler, Carson Cooper, and highly-touted freshman Xavier Booker. Booker, the 6-10 five star recruit, has a smooth stroke from the perimeter for someone his stature, making him the highest upside frontcourt piece by a wide margin. Fellow freshman Coen Carr could also emerge as a stable piece on the wing if he can crack the rotation. 

Given how disciplined the Spartans are on the defensive end, as an experienced team understands they need to lockdown on that end of the floor, 2023-24 could result in Michigan State's first National Championship since 2000.

2024 Men's College Basketball National Championship Odds: Best sleepers

Arkansas Razorbacks +2500 (implied probability 3.85 percent)

Eric Musselman continues to reload his roster via the transfer portal and isn't worried if his team struggles to find their identity in the early season. As we've seen the past three years, Arkansas tends to hit its stride in February, playing its best basketball when it matters most.

The Hogs must replace four key contributors from last year's Sweet 16 team: Anthony Black, Ricky Council, Jordan Walsh, and Nick Smith. Still, the additions of El Ellis (Louisville), Tramon Mark (Houston), Khalif Battle (Temple), Jeremiah Davenport (Cincinnati), and Chandler Lawson (Memphis) should make for a relatively smooth transition to a new core. 

Arkansas' half-court offense might look lost at the beginning of the season as it did in ''22-23, but the Razorbacks will sit near the top of KenPom's adjusted defensive efficiency metric for most of the regular season. Not many teams will be able to score consistently in the half-court against Arkansas.

Alongside a slew of transfers, senior guard Davonte Davis and sophomore wing Trevon Brazile are their most notable returnees. Brazile played just nine games before a season-ending ACL injury but may end up being the team's most utilized offensive piece.

Never underestimate the Muss Buss.

North Carolina Tar Heels +4000 (implied probability 2.44 percent)

While Hubert Davis' Tar Heels became the first-ever preseason No. 1 to fail to make the NCAA Tournament in 2022-23, UNC makes for an intriguing sleeper pick with the betting market lower on the Tar Heels than usual.

Despite retaining go-to guard RJ Davis and AP Preseason All-American center Armando Bacot, UNC cleaned house, with eight players from last season's squad either graduating or transferring. 

Davis landed several key transfers in Harrison Ingram (Stanford), Paxson Wojcik (Brown), Corman Ryan (Notre Dame), Jae'Lyn Withers (Louisville), and James Okonkwo (West Virginia) to help form a strong rotation of seasoned veterans. Additionally, five-star guard Elliot Cadeau has a shot to secure a starting spot in the backcourt next to Davis. 

A change in identity should lead to a return to the NCAA Tournament for UNC, giving them plenty of sleeper appeal at +4000.

More NCAA Tournament Champion sleepers to consider: Villanova Wildcats (+3500); Florida Gators (+6000)

2023 Men's College Basketball National Championship Long Shot

Georgetown Hoyas +75000 (implied probability 1.32 percent)

Year one of the Ed Cooley era may result in a ninth or 10th place finish in the Big East. However, at +75000, we're willing to take a shot at Cooley helping Georgetown exceed expectations.

Only three players return from last season's 7-25 finish (Jay Heath, Wayne Bristol Jr., and Ryan Mutombo), as it's likely a positive that Cooley's first season in D.C. comes with a brand-new roster. Georgetown's perimeter offense looks to be the team's strength, as Heath and ex-Illinois guard Jayden Epps round out a respectable Hoya backcourt. 

There's a reason Georgetown has +75000 odds to shock the world. While it's unlikely Cooley will lead the Hoyas to their first National Championship since Patrick Ewing dominated the paint, they appear slightly undervalued in the betting market.

We could see Georgetown's title odds rise, with Cooley's new foundation coming together faster than expected. It probably won't happen this season, but Georgetown's undoubtedly on the up and up.

More NCAA Tournament Champion long shots to consider: Stanford Cardinal (+50000); UAB Blazers (+50000)

Author(s)
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Nick Musial is a Content Producer at The Sporting News