As NFL Week 18 kicks off with two playoff-impacting matchups on Saturday, let's break down anytime touchdown scorer bets for Steelers vs. Ravens and Texans vs. Colts.
While Baltimore has locked up the No. 1 seed and will not start Lamar Jackson, Pittsburgh is looking to secure the final wild-card spot in the AFC with a win Saturday and some help Sunday.
Meanwhile, the winner of Texans vs. Colts earns a playoff berth, and should the Jaguars lose to the Titans on Saturday, the AFC South title.
Fans are in for some compelling football to end the NFL’s 2023-24 campaign. Here are our favorite NFL Week 18 anytime TD scorer picks for Saturday’s matchups.
NFL Week 18 touchdown scorer odds and props for Saturday games
Steelers vs. Ravens
Check out NFL prop odds on anytime touchdown scorers for Steelers vs. Ravens:
Najee Harris anytime TD odds vs. Ravens ()
With their season on the line, the Steelers turned to Najee Harris to help right the ship. In the last two weeks alone, he has totaled 46 carries for 200 yards and three touchdowns. Those performances were against two of the worst rushing defenses in the league.
On Saturday, he’ll be up against a Ravens’ defense that is middle of the pack in rushing defense and may play multiple starters on a limited basis.
Additionally, Lamar Jackson is sitting out of this one. That could impact time of possession and wear on a defensive unit that hasn’t seen the field too much this year.
With their season on the line, it’s not likely the Steelers will go away from what has put them in this position.
George Pickens ATTD prop odds vs. Ravens ()
In addition to Harris, the Steelers have also gotten quality performances from Mason Rudolph in the last two weeks. He started the season as the third-string quarterback but recently took over for Mitch Trubisky after a string of bad performances.
This was after Trubisky took over for Kenny Pickett due to bad performances. In Rudolph’s two starts, he completed nearly 70% of his passes for 564 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions.
George Pickett has benefited the most from the QB change. During Rudolph’s two starts, Pickens hauled in 11 catches for 326 yards and two touchdowns. The Ravens have one of the best pass defenses in the league, but they could take a step back due to limited minutes for key defenders in a meaningless game.
However, in their matchup earlier this season with the starters playing normal minutes, Pickens still had his way, finishing with six catches for 130 yards and one touchdown.
Against a lesser defense in a must-have game, we like his odds of crossing the goal line at least once.
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Texans vs. Colts TD scorer prop odds
Here are NFL prop odds on ATTD touchdown scorers for Texans vs. Colts:
Nico Collins TD scorer odds ()
In the first matchup between the Colts and Texans, Nico Collins finished with seven catches for 146 yards and a touchdown. That was just the season's second game for the Texans’ rookie QB CJ Stroud, who has improved significantly since then.
The Colts are a middle-of-the-pack passing defense in yardage and haven’t allowed a high number of touchdowns through the air this season, but they haven’t faced many passing attacks like Houston's, either.
In the last five weeks, the Colts have allowed seven touchdowns to Will Levis, Jake Browning, Taylor Heinicke, Aidan O’Connell, and Mitch Trubisky.
Given the recent performance of the Colts defense down the stretch of the season, we like Stroud tossing at least one TD. Collins has as good a chance as any Texan to haul it in.
Kylen Granson anytime TD scorer odds vs. Texans ()
Houston’s defense has been one of the friendliest to opposing tight ends this season, allowing the fifth most passing yards to the position.
They have also allowed five touchdowns to tight ends, which is middle of the pack in the league. One of those touchdowns allowed was to Kylen Granson in the first matchup between the two.
Additionally, the Texans defense allows the seventh most passing yards per game overall and are struggling mightily with surrendering big plays as of late. However, they are getting healthy on the defensive line and tied for 10th in sacks as a team.
They are sure to bring plenty of pressure to Gardner Minshew, which sets up his tight, which tends to be a good outlet for him in this one.
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